Seniors to be almost 24% of population in 16 years

Canada’s Seniors Population To Jump, Workforce Decline By 2063

Posted: 09/18/2014 12:39 pm EDT Updated: 09/18/2014 3:59 pm EDT

Canada faces a big demographic shift over the next 50 years, with a growing number of seniors and a movement of people to Western Canada, says a report from Statistics Canada.

By the year 2063, Canada’s population could reach between 40 million and 63.5 million people, the agency says in a report projecting demographic changes over a 50-year period. For much of that time, the proportion of seniors in the population will expand.

How much Canada’s population grows will depend on the amount of immigration and natural factors such as the birth and death rates.

But the trends identified by Statistics Canada reflect a shift in a labour market and in the need for services that will force both the public and private sector to change.

The number of seniors is expected to surpass the number of children by next year.

Baby boomers retire

The baby boomers — those born from 1946 to 1965 — will reach retirement age over the next two decades. That will raise the number of seniors in the population to an estimated 23.6 per cent by 2030, the year the youngest baby boomers turn 65. That compares with 15.3 per cent in 2013.

By 2063, the number of Canadians aged 80 years and over would reach nearly five million, compared with 1.4 million in 2013.

That trend will put huge demands on the resources for long-term care and home care by 2030, and will continue for the next 30 years. Older seniors are more likely to have health problems or need help to stay in their homes.

At the same time, the number of people between 15 to 64 — those of working age — will decline as a proportion of the population from 68.6 per cent in 2013 to 60 per cent in 2030. It could remain around 60 per cent for the next 30 years.

Depending on the strength of the Canadian economy and how technology changes the workplace, that could result in a shortage of labour. Businesses that offer only part-time work, with no prospects of a permanent stable income or benefits, would be forced to change their labour practices.

Those left in the workforce will also shoulder much of the burden of supporting the health-care sector.

Population shift to West

Statistic Canada also forecasts a significant shift of population to the West. Ontario would remain the most populous province, but population growth in Alberta would be the highest in the country.

Alberta will overtake British Columbia in population by 2038, when Statistics Canada estimates it will be home to 5.6 million to 6.8 million people, compared with four million in 2013. Saskatchewan and Alberta will draw the largest share of migration from other provinces.

The populations of B.C., Ontario and Quebec will grow mainly because of immigration, but Statistics Canada projects population in the Atlantic provinces will decline.

The Atlantic provinces and British Columbia would have the largest proportion of seniors in their population.

The population of Nunavut is projected to remain the youngest in Canada because of its high birth rate. The proportion of seniors aged 65 years and over would be nine per cent in 2038, compared with 3.5 per cent in 2013.

Seniors, disabled join union’s legal challenge over Canada Post’s end of home delivery

Seniors, disabled join union’s legal challenge over Canada Post’s end of home delivery
OTTAWA — The Canadian Press
Published Thursday, Oct. 16 2014, 12:42 PM EDT
Last updated Thursday, Oct. 16 2014, 12:48 PM EDT
Seniors’ groups and organizations for people with disabilities are joining the Canadian Union of Postal Workers in a planned legal challenge to preserve home mail delivery.

Canada Post wants to phase out home delivery in an effort to cope with a revenue squeeze from falling mail volumes.

The postal workers union said the Federal Court challenge, which has not yet been filed, will argue that doing away with home delivery is a decision for Parliament, not Canada Post.

Union president Denis Lemelin said the agency is too focused on the bottom line and is ignoring the needs of Canadians.

“The reaction was immediate from every part of this country,” Lemelin said. “People — seniors, people with disabilities, the general public — were against it and demand that the door-to-door delivery be maintained.”

The Conservatives are trying to distance themselves from the home delivery issue, the union said, adding the government should be held accountable for allowing the decision to be made without proper consultation or debate.

Canada Post said it is confident the plan to do away with home delivery “will withstand any and all legal scrutiny.”

Digital alternatives — such as electronic bills and email — are quickly replacing traditional mail delivery, spokesman Jon Hamilton said.

“The decision to move away from door-to-door mail delivery for a third of Canadian households was difficult,” he said in an interview.

“We understand that two-thirds of Canadian households today don’t have delivery to the door. But we also understood that we needed to ensure as we make these changes, we were taking the approach and ensure that no one was left behind.”

Seniors Co-op Bus Sharing Program Launched

Co-op buses roll into Langley

A pooling of resources has allowed for the creation of a much needed seniors bus sharing program.

OCTOBER 15, 2014 02:30 PM

Seniors along with Langley Township Mayor Jack Froese and Langley City Acting Mayor Ted Schaefer checked out the Bus Co-op’s new wheels.   Photograph By Ronda Payne

The Bus Co-op is believed to be the first program of its kind in North America by its creators. Officially launched Wednesday, three Langley seniors’ agencies have come together, with the help of Vancity and TransLink, to create an affordable bus-sharing program for seniors.

Langley Seniors Resource Society (LSRS), Langley Care Society, and Magnolia Gardens founded The Bus Co-op. Members of the agencies, including Janice McTaggart of LSRS and local dignitaries were on hand for the reveal of the bus contributed by the seniors centre. TransLink will also be providing a bus.

“We know first-hand that owning and maintaining a bus can be a huge burden for seniors agencies so why not share our resources? The co-operative model really appealed to us because it is democratic, values-driven and very connected to the community,” McTaggart said.

With seniors making up approximately 14 per cent of Langley’s population, and that number growing, the new co-op allows seniors’ agencies to become a member of The Bus Co-op, book a bus, take a trip, and return the bus.

All fuel, insurance and maintenance are covered by the co-op with groups paying just $40 an hour to use the bus. Member groups supply their own qualified driver.

The co-op has two buses and is looking for other seniors’ agencies in the Langleys to become members. There may be expansion of the program into Surrey and White Rock in the future.

Vancity provided over $165,000 in grants and financing for the program. Andy Broderick, vice-president of community investment with the credit union was at the launch event.

“This kind of endeavor is a great part of the community,” Broderick said. “We are honoured to be able to enter into a partnership with them [The Bus Co-op].”

Broderick noted the fact that the new program is a co-operative made it particularly appealing to Vancity.

Langley City Acting Mayor Ted Schaefer noted, “I commend TransLink for their generous donation of the bus. This will provide seniors with additional opportunities to get involved and stay connected.”

CLARIFICATION: TransLink was asked for a bus for this innovative program.

“From time to time, we are approached to provide a decommissioned bus to a charity or non-profit organization. In this case, we have arranged for an ‘end of service’ HandyDart bus to be donated to this group in November.  The bus referred to in the news story is not a TransLink vehicle,” explained  Cheryl Ziola, TransLink Media Relations manager.

Seeing sharing as an age-old, and valuable, concept was the message Langley Township Mayor Jack Froese conveyed.

“What’s old is new again,” Froese said. “These organizations found a way to share very expensive assets to move our seniors around.”

This new program enables seniors’ agencies to ensure Langley seniors have more opportunities to be active.

© Langley Advance

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